Sunday, February 26, 2017

My picks for tonight's Academy Awards!


Tonight is the big night!  The ceremony begins at 5:30 PST, and the red carpet fashion coverage will be in full swing by 4:00. 

Here is my "stars and hearts" list for all the nominees, with the gold star next to the one that I predict to win, and the red heart next to the one I like best.


Best Picture

    Arrival
    Fences
    Hacksaw Ridge
    Hell or High Water
    Hidden Figures
    La La Land
    Lion
    Manchester by the Sea
    Moonlight

Should have been nominated: Eye in the Sky, Julieta, Nocturnal Animals, Hunt for the Wilderpeople, Evolution, Wiener-Dog

 
Actress in a Leading Role

    Isabelle Huppert, Elle
    Ruth Negga, Loving
    Natalie Portman, Jackie
    Emma Stone, La La Land
    Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Should have been nominated: Amy Adams, Arrival; Annette Bening, 20th Century Women; Susan Sarandon, The Meddler


Actor in a Leading Role

    Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
    Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
    Ryan Gosling, La La Land
    Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
    Denzel Washington, Fences

Should have been nominated: Michael Keaton, The Founder; Tom Hanks, A Hologram for the King

 
Actress in a Supporting Role

    Viola Davis, Fences
    Naomie Harris, Moonlight
    Nicole Kidman, Lion
    Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
    Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Should have been nominated: Ellen Burstyn, Wiener-Dog; Laura Linney, Nocturnal Animals


Actor in a Supporting Role
 
    Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
    Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
    Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
    Dev Patel, Lion
    Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Should have been nominated: Ben Foster, Hell or High Water; Andre Holland, Moonlight; Danny DeVito, Wiener-Dog; Channing Tatum, Hail, Caesar!


Directing

    Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
    Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
    Damien Chazelle, La La Land
    Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
    Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Should have been nominated: Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals; Lucile Hadzihalilovic, Evolution; Pedro Almodovar, Julieta; Todd Solondz, Wiener-Dog

 
Adapted Screenplay

    Arrival, Eric Heisserer
    Fences, August Wilson
    Hidden Figures, Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi
    Lion, Luke Davies
    Moonlight, Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney

Should have been nominated: Julieta, Pedro Almodovar; Nocturnal Animals, Tom Ford; Deadpool, Rhett Reese and Paul Werlich,


Original Screenplay

    Hell or High Water, Taylor Sheridan
    La La Land, Damien Chazelle
    The Lobster, Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filippou
    Manchester by the Sea, Kenneth Lonergan
    20th Century Women, Mike Mills

Should have been nominated: The Founder, Robert D. Siegel; Wiener-Dog, Todd Solondz

 
Animated Feature Film
 
    Kubo and the Two Strings
    Moana
    My Life as a Zucchini
    The Red Turtle
    Zootopia

Should have been nominated: Finding Dory


Foreign Language Film

    Land of Mine (Denmark)
    A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
    The Salesman (Iran)
    Tanna (Australia)
    Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Should have been nominated: Julieta, Evolution, Things to Come, The Handmaiden, Elle


Documentary Feature

    Fire at Sea
    I Am Not Your Negro
    Life, Animated
    O.J.: Made in America
    13th

Should have been nominated: The Eagle Huntress; Mapplethorpe: Look at the Pictures

 
Cinematography

    Arrival, Bradford Young
    La La Land, Linus Sandgren
    Lion, Greig Fraser
    Moonlight, James Laxton
    Silence, Rodrigo Prieto

Should have been nominated:  Jackie, Stephane Fontaine; Manchester by the Sea, Jody Lee Lipes; Things to Come, Denis Lenoir; Evolution, Manuel Dacosse


Film Editing
 
    Arrival, Joe Walker
    Hacksaw Ridge, John Gilbert
    Hell or High Water, Jake Roberts
    La La Land, Tom Cross
    Moonlight, Nat Sanders and Joi McMillon
   
Should have been nominated: Nocturnal Animals, Joan Sobel; Manchester by the Sea, Jennifer Lame; Sebastian Sepulveda, Jackie


Production Design

    Arrival, Patrice Vermette and Paul Hotte
    Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Stuart Craig and Anna Pinnock
    Hail, Caesar! , Jess Gonchor and Nancy Haigh
    La La Land, Davis Wasco and Sandy Reynolds-Wasco
    Passengers, Guy Hendrix Dyas and Gene Serdena

Should have been nominated: Hacksaw Ridge, Barry Robison; Julieta, Carlos Bodelon; Lion, Chris Kennedy; Jackie, Jean Rabasse
 

Costume Design

    Allied, Joanna Johnston
    Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Colleen Atwood
    Florence Foster Jenkins, Consolata Boyle
    Jackie, Madeline Fontaine
    La La Land, Mary Zophres

Should have been nominated: Miss Sloane, Georgina Yarhi; Julieta, Sonia Grande

 
Makeup and Hairstyling

    A Man Called Ove, Eva von Bahr and Love Larson
    Star Trek Beyond, Joel Harlow and Richard Alonzo
    Suicide Squad, Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini, and Christopher Nelson

Should have been nominated: Nocturnal Animals, Julieta, Jackie

 
Original Score 

    Jackie, Mica Levi
    La La Land, Justin Hurwitz
    Lion, Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka
    Moonlight, Nicholas Britell
    Passengers, Thomas Newman

Should have been nominated: Loving, David Wingo; The Founder, Carter Burwell; Julieta, Alberto Iglesias


Original Song

    “Audition (The Fools who Dream),” La La Land
    “Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls
    “City of Stars,” La La Land
    “The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story
    “How Far I’ll Go,” Moana

Should have been nominated: "The Rules Don't Apply," Rules Don't Apply; "Just Like Fire," Alice Through the Looking Glass

 
Sound Editing

    Arrival, Sylvain Bellemare
    Deepwater Horizon, Wylie Stateman and Renée Tondelli
    Hacksaw Ridge, Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright
    La La Land, Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan
    Sully, Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman


Sound Mixing

    Arrival, Bernard Gariépy Strobl and Claude La Haye
    Hacksaw Ridge, Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie, and Peter Grace
    La La Land, Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee, and Steve A. Morrow
    Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio, and Stuart Wilson
    13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi, Greg P. Russell et al


Visual Effects

    Deepwater Horizon, Craig Hammack, Jason Snell, Justin Billington, and Burt Dalton
    Doctor Strange, Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli, and Paul Corbould
    The Jungle Book, Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones, and Dan Lemmon
    Kubo and the Two Strings, Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean, and Brad Schiff
    Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel, and Neil Corbould


Animated Short Film

    Blind Vaysha
    Borrowed Time
    Pear Cider and Cigarettes
    Pearl
    Piper

Should have been nominated: The Head Vanishes, Asteria

 
Live Action Short Film

    Ennemis Intérieurs
    La Femme et le TGV
    Silent Nights
    Sing
    Timecode


Documentary Short Subject

    Extremis
    4.1 Miles
    Joe’s Violin
    Watani: My Homeland
    The White Helmets


1 comment:

Jeff Shelby said...

Under the famous "hearts and stars" scoring system developed by the divine Jess Main, I scored 41 points this year. 2 points for each winner with a gold star, 1 for each winner with a red heart, and 3 for each winner that has both.